The Delphi Method as a Morphological Catalyst for Foresight-Oriented Design Research

Abstract

Anticipating expository concepts could be complex in the field of innovation management. Designers confront methodological challenges when they lock into a future framework with rapidly changing variables. The system’s users, for starters, do not yet exist. Second, ongoing changes in critical components and their interconnections make it hard to conceptualise relationships and offer synthesizable data. There is a lack of evidence in the rational core for generating forecasts. The Delphi method and morphological analysis are both well-established methods in strategic foresight. This paper suggests that using a morphology-based Delphi approach that employs a mix of the Delphi Method and Morphological Analysis to forecast future results in creative, complicated enterprises is beneficial. Furthermore, one tool compensates for the theoretical and functional shortcomings of the other by showing transparent, value-based arguments in an iterative, customizable manner. This documentary study has adopted a comparative study-based methodology that compares morphological Delphi in the context of future-oriented design to related fields in terms of procedural and theoretical parallels and differences. The results demonstrate morphological Delphi techniques through different scales of studies to provide a learning experience that is based on research, application and interaction which can be employed in future context design.