Articles: Recent submissions
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Impact Of Working Capital Management On Profitability In The Listed Firms In The Retail Sector In The Saudi Stock ExchangeWorking capital management is an important issue in financial management, considering its large role on the profitability and liquidity of firms. This paper aims to explore the effects of working capital management on profitability in 14 Saudi retail companies that are listed in the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) over the period of 2011-2014. This study will employ panel data regression analysis using Pooled OLS to test the relationship between working capital components, which are the cash conversion cycle (CCC), current assets to total assets (CATAR), current assets to current liabilities ratio (CACLR), current liabilities to total assets ratio (CLTAR) and debt to total assets ratio (DTAR) and profitability measured by return on assets (ROA) and return on invested capital (ROIC). The working capital management components represent the independent variables, while the profitability variables represent the dependent variables used in the model. The results show no significant relationship between working capital management components and ROA and ROIC in all the companies and the ones who predominantly deal with services, except for companies that deal with mainly goods, where there is a significant negative relationship between CACLR and ROA.
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Assessing the speculative dynamics and determinants of residential apartment rentals in Mogadishu, Somalia: A hybrid modeling approachThere has been relatively rapid growth in Somalia's real estate sector recently, resulting in property market booms in major cities of the country. Despite this sector's importance, very little scientific research has been conducted. Thus, this study aims to model the rental value of residential apartments in Mogadishu, Somalia. A hybrid modeling approach is utilized, in which a hedonic regression model was used in the first phase and an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in the second. After analysis, the study established that an apartment's age, size, value, view, number of toilets, air quality, proximity to CBD, proximity to a university and probability of explosion are key factors determining apartment rental rates in Mogadishu, while floor level, parking space, and school proximity do not have a significant impact on apartment rental rates. Because of speculation, there is a higher likelihood of overvaluation than undervaluation in the housing market, which has profound policy and practical implications. Rather than being driven by real demand, Mogadishu's real estate market is driven by speculation, as overvaluation signals are more evident than undervaluation signals. As one of the world's poorest nations, where 70% of the population lives below the international poverty line, and about 80% of jobs are in the informal sector, extreme speculative activities adversely affect Somalia's economic quality and the living conditions of its citizens. Somali citizens need government policies that facilitate the accessibility, affordability, and adequate availability of decent housing. The study recommends protecting Somalia's real estate sector to attract more investors and boost the country's post-conflict development initiatives. A vital contribution of the study is that it is the first to examine the rental value of residential apartments in Mogadishu systematically. This study contributes significantly to housing economics and real estate development literature.
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Impact of FinTech Growth on Bank Performance in GCC RegionThis article investigates the effect of financial technology (FinTech) growth on bank performance in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. The application is conducted on a panel dataset containing annual observations of banks from 2012 to 2021 using the generalized method of moments (GMM) method. FinTech growth is set as an explanatory variable on three proxies of bank performance, namely, return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and net interest margin (NIM). Moreover, several control variables are added to the model, including bank-specific and macroeconomic variables. The results are significant as all the proxies of bank performance are negatively affected by the growth of FinTech startups. Consequently, banks are urged to proactively invest in FinTech startups and engage in partnerships to avoid the risk of disruption.
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Physics-based and data-driven approaches for lifetime estimation under variable conditions: Application to organic light-emitting diodesThe prognosis of organic light-emitting diodes (OLEDs) not only requires early detection of a bearing defect, but also the capability to predict their life data under all operational scenarios. The use of sophisticated machine learning (ML) algorithms is undoubtedly becoming an increasingly exciting research direction, as these algorithms can yield high predictive models with minimal domain expertise. The central question of this perspective is: how well can ML models advance our ability to forecast the lifetime of OLEDs compared to the physics based models? In this paper, data-driven methods, feed-forward neural networks (FFNN), support vector machines (SVMs), k-nearest neighbors (KNNs), partial least squares regression (PLSR), and decision trees (DTs), are used to predict the lifetime and reliability of OLEDs through analyzing the lumen degradation data collected from the accelerated lifetime test. The final predicted results indicate that both the data-driven and our physics-based OLED lifetime models fit well the experimental data. The main drawback of the former method is that their efficacy is highly contingent on the quantity and quality of the operational dataset. Among all these methods, much more reliability information (time to failure) and the highest prediction accuracy can be achieved by FFNN.
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Impact of FinTech growth on bank performance in GCC regionThis article investigates the effect of financial technology (FinTech) growth on bank performance in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. The application is conducted on a panel dataset containing annual observations of banks from 2012 to 2021 using the generalized method of moments (GMM) method. FinTech growth is set as an explanatory variable on three proxies of bank performance, namely, return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), and net interest margin (NIM). Moreover, several control variables are added to the model, including bank-specific and macroeconomic variables. The results are significant as all the proxies of bank performance are negatively affected by the growth of FinTech startups. Consequently, banks are urged to proactively invest in FinTech startups and engage in partnerships to avoid the risk of disruption.
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Resilience amidst turmoil: a multi-resolution analysis of portfolio diversification in emerging markets during global financial and health crisesUsing Wavelet Coherence, Frequency Interconnectedness and Spillover methodologies, this study investigates the dynamic comovements and spillover effects between emerging markets (BRICS and Türkiye) with a specific emphasis on the effects of the GFC and COVID-19 pandemic. It aims to compare the impact of these events on portfolio diversification in the equity markets from the perspective of international equity investors. The results indicate that the stock markets are positively interlinked and depend on the time and frequency of returns. Significant correlations among the equity markets and a spike in overall spillover are also evident in the recent period due to the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings can be useful for policymakers and investors in their decision making.
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Asymmetric Impact of Microfinance on Economic Growth: Evidence from Bosnia and HerzegovinaThis study explores the correlation between microfinance loans (MFL) and economic growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina (Bosnia). It utilizes the non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) method to examine cointegration and short-run dynamics by analyzing quarterly data spanning from 2010 to 2022. The findings underscore the link between MFL shocks and long-term economic growth. The study unveils the unique effects of both positive and negative MFL shocks on growth, suggesting a non-linear relationship between microfinance loans and economic growth in Bosnia. However, the study concludes that the impact of MFL on Bosnia's GDP is adverse. Short-term fluctuations in MFL show no substantial influence on Bosnian economic growth. The coefficient of the error correction model is both negative and significant indicating the stability of the long-term relationship. This implies a rapid correction, with 46.4 % of the previous quarter's imbalance rectified within the current quarter. While our results are based on a single country, they align with recent criticisms of microfinance practices. Furthermore, our study offers a novel approach as it represents the first examination of the asymmetric relationship between MFL and GDP in Bosnia, providing valuable policy recommendations.
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Gender, entrepreneurship and the digital divide: a global perspectiveThe concepts and terms defining the thrust of this special issue, i.e. gender, entrepreneurship (Berger et al., 2021), the digital divide (Bowen and Morris, 2019; Millan et al., 2021; Satalkina et al., 2021), Global South (Simaan, 2020) and Global North, are very well established in the literature. Nevertheless, relatively little has been written about (1) the gendered dimension of the digital divide, (2) the digital divide and the gendered dimension of entrepreneurship (Elliott et al., 2021); and finally, (3) the specificity of these topics as they are in the Global South and Global North's peripheries (Ojediran and Anderson, 2020; Wood et al., 2021; Althalathini et al., 2020). Even if research on each of these individual domains exists, relatively little research on the intersection of these three areas exists (but cf. Visvizi et al., 2023, and earlier Kasusse, 2005; Alden, 2003). Notably, given the pace and the pervasive impact of digital transformation globally, and their diverse political, social and economic manifestations, it is necessary that the mechanisms underlying these interconnected issues and developments are identified and explored. This special issue sought to encourage this kind of conversation, always in context of the United Nation's (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
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Testing Monetary Policy Trilemma for Middle Eastern Economies Under a Bayesian Panel VAR SpecificationPurpose: This research aims to investigate the presence of monetary policy trilemma in the Middle Eastern region and evaluate the spillover effects of US monetary policy on the region. Theoretical framework: Middle Eastern economies follow the dollar pegged exchange rate policy with open capital account and this poses a question about the autonomy of the monetary policy stance adopted by the regional central banks. In this context, current research considers variables such as domestic interbank interest rate, domestic liquidity, oil price and federal fund rate to test the monetary policy trilemma in the region Design/methodology/approach: To investigate the presence of monetary policy trilemma in the Middle Eastern region, this research employs the time - varying Bayesian panel vector autoregression approach and selects a panel of five Middle Eastern countries which include Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Oman and Kuwait while considering the monthly data for the sample period 2009m10 until 2021m12. Findings: This research finds that a positive shock in US federal fund rate increases the domestic interest rates in the Middle Eastern economies. In addition, this research finds a negative relationship between oil price shocks and domestic interest rates. Whereas a positive shock in US federal fund rates induces a reduction in the oil price. Research, Practical & Social implications: Current research provides insights for policy makers to determine the autonomy of domestic monetary policy stance to achieve its broader macroeconomic objectives. Originality/value: This research is unique as it examines the monetary policy trilemma while considering oil price as a control variable in the system under a time varying Bayesian panel vector autoregression specification.
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Making Housing Affordable Through Solar Energy: A Proposal for MalaysiaGlobally, housing affordability is becoming an increasing concern, particularly to the low and middle-income group. Housing priceshavebeen steadily growing over theyears, therebymake it even more burdensome,particularly for fresh graduates and low-income earners (B40),to own a home. The constant price increaseis mainly due to inflation in the property sector brought about by the very nature of the modern monetary system, particularly the fractional reserve banking andcompound interest charges, leading to housing and property bubbles. Accordingly, governments have generally failed in successfully solving the housing problem. In this regard, this paper provides an affordable housing solution through solar energy harvesting combined with Islamic financing provisions for the case of Malaysia. In our proposed model, housing can be provided in a very affordable manner regardless of the credit-worthiness of buyers with the possibilityof free-energy at the end of the tenure.
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Safe haven property of gold and cryptocurrencies during COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine conflictDuring recent years the world has witnessed several unprecedented crises that affected the international financial markets. Indeed, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict caused major perturbations that slowed down the economic and financial development around the globe. International investors are switching their attention to more reliable assets as a refuge to their portfolios. This paper investigates the hedge and safe haven properties of gold and major cryptocurrencies, mainly Bitcoin and Ethereum. Empirical analysis is conducted on main fiat currencies using the multivariate asymmetric dynamical conditional correlation model. Results show that gold has a superior hedging effectiveness compared to cryptocurrencies. Moreover, the precious metal and the digital currencies are safe havens for almost all fiat currencies.
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Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futuresThis paper examines the dependence structure and the portfolio allocation characteristics of a main industrial portfolio metals (gold, platinum, palladium, aluminum, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and nickel), and of an agricultural commodities portfolio (wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee, sugar cane, sugar beets, cocoa, cotton, and lumber). Our methodology is based on regular vine copulas and the conditional Value-at-Risk. The motivation to investigate the dependence structure and connectedness between agricultural, and metal commodities is to identify ways in which agricultural and metal commodities can hedge each other and to explore the possibilities of parallel investments. The results indicate that the dependence dynamics of the main metals portfolio are characterized by symmetric features. However, the dependence dynamics of the agricultural commodities portfolio are characterized by symmetric and asymmetric features; symmetric dynamics are predominant. Finally, the metal commodities portfolio is observed to be less risky for financial resource allocation during the global financial crisis.
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Dependence and risk management of portfolios of metals and agricultural commodity futuresThis paper examines the dependence structure and the portfolio allocation characteristics of a main industrial portfolio metals (gold, platinum, palladium, aluminum, silver, copper, zinc, lead, and nickel), and of an agricultural commodities portfolio (wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee, sugar cane, sugar beets, cocoa, cotton, and lumber). Our methodology is based on regular vine copulas and the conditional Value-at-Risk. The motivation to investigate the dependence structure and connectedness between agricultural, and metal commodities is to identify ways in which agricultural and metal commodities can hedge each other and to explore the possibilities of parallel investments. The results indicate that the dependence dynamics of the main metals portfolio are characterized by symmetric features. However, the dependence dynamics of the agricultural commodities portfolio are characterized by symmetric and asymmetric features; symmetric dynamics are predominant. Finally, the metal commodities portfolio is observed to be less risky for financial resource allocation during the global financial crisis.
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A Model Of A Shariah Compliant Credit Clearing System To Facilitate Working Capital Management For Micro, Small And Medium EnterprisesPalArch's Journal of Archaeology of Egypt / Egyptology ABOUT EDITORIAL TEAM INDEXATION CURRENT ARCHIVES SUBMISSIONS PUBLICATION ETHICS Search SEARCH Register Login HOME / ARCHIVES / VOL. 18 NO. 13 (2021): SPECIAL EDITION BOOK SERIES 1: EFFAT UNIVERSITY'S FINANCE AND ECONOMY PAPERS / Articles A MODEL OF A SHARIAH COMPLIANT CREDIT CLEARING SYSTEM TO FACILITATE WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT FOR MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM ENTERPRISES Authors Mohamed Mahees Raheem Ahamed Kameel Mydin Meera Abideen Adeyemi Adewale ABSTRACT MSMEs enhance competition through economy-wide entrepreneurship, encouraging innovation and improving efficiency as their industries grow. In an increasingly globalized marketplace, it is important for local MSMEs to remain competitive in order to survive. Due to their size, they face many problems with regards to business operations. One of the main problems is access to financing for working capital management. The paper identifies the main problems faced by local MSMEs in raising finance to meet their working capital requirements, and also discusses the usage of trade credit within local MSMEs, and its impact on working capital management. The paper then proposes an alternative credit-clearing strategy that utilizes currency is backed by trade credit that can be employed by MSMEs to boost their liquidity positions. The proposed system directly benefits MSMEs, clearing houses, banks and local governments. In addition, this research also discusses alternative income generation methods for clearing houses, potential problems and remedies, and Shariah compliance
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A Concept For Funding Universal Basic Income Through A “National Waqf” SchemeModern governments are constantly seeking innovative ways of funding welfare programs for the wellbeing of their citizens. These methods may range from traditional welfare schemes to radical initiatives. One of the ideas that is gaining traction to this measure is universal basic income (UBI), which basically refers to a monthly payment that is given to all citizens, regardless of their income levels, economic and employment status. However, the main difficulty in the implementation of UBI is its funding. At the same time, the traditional Islamic concept of waqf (Islamic endowment) is also a sector that is underutilized, with a great potential to provide welfare for citizens. This paper seeks to provide a solution to both the funding of UBI and revitalization of the waqf sector.
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Company online presence and its effect on stock returnsThis paper investigates the relationship between stock prices and the online presence of companies. Mainly, we study the effect of the online presence of a company on its subsequent stock returns. Moreover, we examine the impact of companies’ engagement efforts and the popularity of their search-engine keywords on their stock returns. Based on the companies listed on the Dow Jones industrial average index, results suggest that stock returns are impacted by a change in online presence, as measured by search volumes. Nevertheless, the online engagement efforts show no significant relationship with the stock returns.
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Company online presence and its effect on stock returnsThis paper investigates the relationship between stock prices and the online presence of companies. Mainly, we study the effect of the online presence of a company on its subsequent stock returns. Moreover, we examine the impact of companies’ engagement efforts and the popularity of their search-engine keywords on their stock returns. Based on the companies listed on the Dow Jones industrial average index, results suggest that stock returns are impacted by a change in online presence, as measured by search volumes. Nevertheless, the online engagement efforts show no significant relationship with the stock returns.
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The effects of interest rate on Islamic bank financing instruments: cross-country evidence from dual-banking systemsIn theory, the cornerstones of Islamic finance are interest avoidance and risk-sharing. In practice, however, Islamic banks seem to be lacking both, particularly the latter. We investigate the interest rate impact on Islamic banks' three most-widely used types of financing instruments – i.e. sale-based, lease-based and risk-sharing – by employing the system GMM estimators on a unique panel data set of 77 Islamic banks from 13 countries over the period 2003–2017. We find that sale- and lease-based financing instruments are negatively correlated with the interest rate and that their exposure is amplified in more developed Islamic banking jurisdictions. Risk-sharing instruments, however, appear to be out of the interest rate domain of influence except in less developed Islamic banking jurisdictions, where the impact is positive. Additionally, the above effects on sale-based and risk-sharing instruments hold true only in the case of full-fledged Islamic banks and Islamic bank subsidiaries, respectively; the impact on lease-based instruments hold under all specifications. The findings imply that predominant use of sale- and lease-based financing instruments in their current form undermines the interest-free and risk-sharing essence of Islamic banking and runs the risk of converging with its conventional counterpart.
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The (mis)use of al-Hilah (legal trick) and al-Makhraj (legal exit) in Islamic financePurpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the concepts of hilah (legal stratagem or legal trick) and makhraj (legal exit) and to examine their relevance and application in the contemporary Islamic financial services and products. Design/methodology/approach This paper uses the qualitative research approach to provide a theoretical overview of hilah and makhraj literally and technically and to examine their practical applications in Islamic financial products and services. In particular, this paper evaluates several Islamic financial contracts and examines its practices in light of the implications of hilah or makhraj. Findings The paper finds that there is a glaring difference in perception and application of hilah and makhraj, as argued by some scholars. It has been found that the principle of hilah has been extensively used in the Islamic finance industry as a way to circumvent the riba prohibition. For example, Islamic financial instruments such as bay’ bithaman al-ajil, bay’ al-‘inah, tawarruq, commodity murabahah, musharakah mutanaqisah and, in some cases, the sale and lease back sukuk are found to be tainted by hilah. Research limitations/implications Because this is a theoretical paper, it should be explored in more detail, and critical analysis of Islamic financial services and products should be reviewed in line with these two principles to ascertain if the products and services are in line with Shariah requirements and devoid of hilah practices or not and to align the industry with the maqasid al-Shariah. Practical implications This paper identifies a serious challenge that Islamic finance practitioners face in product development in their effort to provide more competitive services to their customers. As a result, it demonstrates the need to proactively use makhraj in innovating Islamic financial products and proffering more sustainable and competitive solutions. Originality/value This paper discusses a topic that attempts to dispel the suspicious perceptions of some analysts as to the genuineness of Islamic financial practices.