Reliability Analysis of Concentrator III-V Triple-Junction Solar Cells Using Arrhenius-Normal
Khonji, Mariam ; ; ; Ahmed, A. ; Majid, M. A. ; Ahmed, Abraz
Khonji, Mariam
Ahmed, A.
Majid, M. A.
Ahmed, Abraz
Type
Supervisor
Date
2025-12-08
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Abstract
This study builds upon the recently developed
Arrhenius-Normal model to evaluate the reliability of commercial
concentrator III–V triple-junction solar cells under thermal
stress, based on accelerated lifetime data. The dataset, previously
examined using the classical Arrhenius-Weibull and Arrhenius-
Lognormal models, is reanalyzed to demonstrate that failure
times at each stress level closely follow a normal distribution. The
Arrhenius-Normal model exhibits an excellent fit to the stress–life
relationship, enabling precise lifetime predictions under normal
operating conditions. The analysis also confirms that while the
mean and standard deviation of lifetime decrease with increasing
stress, their ratio—the coefficient of variation—remains constant,
aligning with findings in recent literature. The results are
benchmarked against previously reported outcomes for validation
and comparison.
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